Dave Saltzer

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Dave Saltzer last won the day on December 15 2017

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About Dave Saltzer

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  1. Dave Saltzer

    "The Best Player(s) In Baseball"

    Good article. Thanks!
  2. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    Interesting take Ettin. I'd take a totally different perspective, though. I'd rate it an 8/10 with potential to grow from there. One of our two top picks should pan out as a serviceable major leaguer. So, for me, it has far more to do with how the pitching pans out. If some of those turn out to be decent, then this draft could grow. By way of comparison, I would have rated last year's draft as a 7/10, and the year before that, with Adell as a 9.5/10. And, for the first 3 years after a draft, I'm willing to add or subtract a point on the ratings based on additional perspective in seeing how the players pan out.
  3. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    I don't see Rutledge falling down to us, but if he did, that would be awesome! I agree, I'd like us to take Allan if he's available. We'd have to go a bit over slot, but can make uthat money in rounds 6-10.
  4. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    You aren't the only one with that thought. But, there are many others who think he will stay a starter. The question is, what does Eppler think?
  5. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    Interesting thing about Allan and Espino is that both don't have the most orthodox deliveries, yet both produce high heat, supposedly late into games. From what I'm hearing, Espino has 4 true offerings, with some skepticism (but also due to a lack of showing) on his changeup. We've done a lot teaching pitchers the changeup, so, that's not the most impossible thing to teach, at least to an average offering. Espino probably has the better FB, but not by too much.
  6. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    Thanks. Espino would be an interesting pick for us as well. Huge FB and slider. With teams somewhat split on him (the issue is long-term move to closer or remaining as a starter), it might allow us to work more magic in the 2nd round whereas with Allan there is a strong concern that we may have to go a bit over slot to sign him. I really do hope that we take a top pitcher this year in the 1st round.
  7. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    The latest from Bleacherreport. 15. Los Angeles Angels: RHP Matthew Allan, Seminole HS (Fla.) This is the first spot where it will take an above-slot deal to ink right-hander Matthew Allan to his $4 million asking price, albeit not much above-slot with a $3.89 million slot assignment. The 6'3" right-hander already has three above-average pitches and legitimate frontline upside, making him the top prep arm in a thin class. For an Angels team desperate for pitching, it's a price worth paying.
  8. That was also me. I was really stoked that several college and HS pitchers fell to us last year when it was our turn to pick, and as I've said earlier in threads, believe that it is cheaper and easier to draft and develop pitching. So, I was rather let down with the selection of him. I liked the Jackson pick, but wanted a pitcher or even Gorman last year,not another OFer. At the time, we had Adell, Jones, Marsh, and others as OFers, so, taking another OFer (one whom I didn't think would be as good as any of those) didn't excite me as much as getting a pitcher or Gorman. This year, again, I'm hoping we get some top-shelf pitching and not another toolsy OFer.
  9. Dave Saltzer

    Velocity is Strangling Baseball

    Thanks for sharing an interesting article. I am really interested to see the results of how the Atlantic league will play out. I am concerned that pushing the mound back 2 feet may push pitchers to keep striving for higher and higher velocity as well as affecting release points on breaking pitches that may put more strain on the arm. That could result in more arm injuries. And, I can also see that with more time for a breaking pitch to drop, it could make it even more challenging for hitters. It will be interesting to see how baseball will evolve. Hopefully, we may see a return to more players who can make contact and work the count because I would find that more interesting for the game. But, I doubt that that will be the solution.
  10. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    Looking at their most recent picks under Eppler, I'd say what they are looking for most is pure athleticism/physicality more than anything else. They are then looking for athletes with strong mental makeups. I disagree that they are focusing on putting bat to ball skills because one of the big questions with Adell (which allowed us to snag him) was how well that would develop with him. Same for Adams. But, in both cases, they were incredible athletes with great mental makeups. They have also shown the same style with their international signees suck as Knowles and DeShawn. I would say, you can't teach tools such as power, speed, or pitching hest. But theres more power generally available every year and there are more positions on the field to place power. That's for both the draft and through free agency. So, that makes the pitching more rare, desirable, and expensive. Given two players who are essentially equally talented athletes, I'd lean towards the pitcher because it would potentially net more savings and have a bigger effect on a game, I'd lean towards taking the pitcher. Lastly, I would add two more caveats. First, while not every prospect will pan out, at some point each year you have to factor in organizational depth (note, this is way different than organizational need, which I am opposed to doing in baseball). The goal is to create waves of talent that matriculate to the Majors at or near the same time. That makes it much easier to fill in pieces to make the parent club the best it can be through trades and free agency. That may shift the focus from high school (where generally the best raw talent is available) to college at times. For all of these reasons, drafting is an art, not a science, and always will remain so. We as fans are only privy to so little information for players compared to what the scouts and teams will know. I've had students with million dollar arms and 10 cent brains and have seen how that has affected them in the draft. Now, more than ever, that mental makeup and fortitude is counting for a lot more of a player's draft profile. And, I am sure that the Angels are very much focused on those intangibles as much as they are on the raw talent. As I said earlier, assuming all is good with the high school pitchers I listed earlier, and with Fletcher or Covaco, that would make for a great 1st and 2nd round haul for us.
  11. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    You know that last year I very much wanted the Angels to take one of the available pitchers with our pick. I agree that I do not want another toolsy OFer, and would much prefer a pitcher. But, I wouldn't take the best pitcher available if there is a marked difference between the pitcher and best overall player available. My premise is that it is cheaper and easier to draft and develop top-tiered pitching than it is to acquire it through free agency. Hitting is a lot easier to acquire (our recent bad experiences aside) than pitching. So, if two players are equally talented, I'd take the pitcher over the hitter due to the better financial windfall that could result. But, I wouldn't just take the best pitcher and overlook all position players, because the windfall from the best player is still greater than the windfall from a potential average pitcher. Yes, last year we took a lot of pitchers. But, we took pitchers after the top-ranked ones were mostly off the boards. And, we took several in certain rounds to shore up money to allow us to sign our top two picks last year. Getting Kirby, Allen, or Priester in the 1st round, and Cavaco or Fletcher in the second round would be really nice.
  12. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    From: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-2-0/ 15. Angels – George Kirby, RHP, ElonThe Angels have been tied mostly to high school players: Henderson (who GM Billy Eppler has seen), Priester, Florida prep RHP Matthew Allan (rumors have him seeking $4 million, so he’d be overslot starting at this pick), Tennessee prep CF Maurice Hampton, and NorCal prep SS Kyren Paris, who is another polarizing prospect with interest in the mid-first round, but isn’t a top-40 prospect for some clubs.
  13. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    A new name. From: https://thebiglead.com/2019/05/17/2019-mlb-mock-draft-adley-rutschman-witt-vaughn-abrams-bleday/3/ 15. Los Angeles Angels: Quinn Priester, RHP, Cary-Grove High School (IL) Quinn Priester is a Midwestern prep pitcher with excellent athleticism and great stuff. He can hit 97 mph with his fastball, has a heavy two-seamer and owns probably the best curveball in this high school class. At 6’3″ and 198 pounds, Priester has the frame and athleticism to be a long-term starter. The Angels are looking closely at the prep prospects in this year’s draft and Priester would be an excellent add here. If they can get him to improve his changeup, he could wind up being the best pitcher in this class.
  14. Dave Saltzer

    The Official 2019 MLB Draft Thread

    I watched some video of Cavaco. I think there's the potential to unlock a good bit more power out of him. And, I can see the appeal of Trejyn Fletcher, but I'm not sure he'll be there for our second pick. As much as I would love to get a great pitcher in the draft, I'd have to admit getting these two would be an impressive haul. An interesting pitcher, if available in the second round (I'm hearing mixed things about where he might go) is Alek Manoah. We have his brother Erik pitching for us at IE. Alek is supposed to be better, with an even harder fastball. The concerns are about his build and secondary offerings (whether he stays as a starter or moves to the pen). If Fletcher is gone and Manoah is available, that might be an interesting pick. But, I've also heard other teams willing to take Manoah earlier. The biggest thing I'm hearing is that outside of the top 3 picks, it's anyone's guess as to how the draft will go, and teams are doing a lot of "what if" scenarios for their first few rounds because a lot of planning will change on draft day.
  15. I think the question should be instead whether or not starters deserve to be paid a premium for "starting". If more and more teams go to openers, and with fewer and fewer pitchers going 6+ innings for a quality start, shouldn't it really come down to the number of innings pitched and the quality of those innings rather than when the pitcher pitches those innings?