Hubs

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Everything posted by Hubs

  1. Hubs

    Trout and then what?

    Also, Fletcher is not a 4-5 WAR SS. Simmons bat has definitely been an asset, but his defense is so elite, that it gives him a huge bump. Fletcher's 2 WAR in 2018 was misleading, I think, he's probably getting a huge bump defensively for his work at multiple positions. Fletcher would have to arguably equal Zack Cozarts 2017, because Cozart was likely the best SS defensively in the NL that year (Simmons being the best in the NL)...and had to hit to a .900+ OPS to get to 5 WAR.
  2. Hubs

    Trout and then what?

    Any other major free agent acquisitions or trades will undoubtably on the pitching side. Gerritt Cole is a FA next offseason, Trevor Bauer and Jacob DeGrom the year after that. And Bauer remember only supposedly wants one-year contracts, which to me is bizarre, but ok.
  3. Ya, I actually thought about this, I do think it's legit possible. More likely he goes to the Phillies. We don't know if the Angels Mega Superstar's new contract is a replacement of his last two years, or an extension, and how that affects the luxury tax threshold. If he was willing to give some dollars up in salary this year and next... maybe.
  4. Hubs

    BEST. OFFSEASON. EVER!!

    I really hope the Angels win the World Series THIS YEAR...even more than most years, so they can prove all the doubters wrong.
  5. Hubs

    Rojas over Ward for 3B?

    I hope Ward breaks out like Chapman or Bregman have. Even if he doesn't hit the numbers that they did, but those two both struggled at first and then straight out dominated.
  6. Hubs

    Optimism for this season

    Bour is a better hitter than Valbuena (RIP) or Cron or Marte or Fernandez. Remember that he was basically their only power threat in the lineup other than Realmuto in the first half of 2018 and in 2017 he was legit. If he plays like he did in 2017, it will be hard to keep him out of the lineup in favor of Pujols. I'd also hope Cozart and Upton do what they did in 2017, this offense may be top 3 if that all happens.
  7. Hubs

    Why is optimism so hard?

    For me this is the key. I look at the entire AL, and I don't see a front runner without questions. The Red Sox didn't get better, they arguably are worse, but still have a formidable offense and pitching staff. The Yankees got better? I suppose, but did they get a lot better? Is their rotation better? No. The Rays are better with Morton on their staff, but they also gave up Cron, who fueled their offense in 2018. The Orioles and Blue Jays are not expected to be contenders. The Indians arguably got worse. The Twins might be better?? The White Sox, Royals, and Tigers are all not contenders. The Rangers could be better, the Angels should be better, the A's surprised last year, and could be similar, or they could be much worse, and the Mariners totally reconfigured their team. The Astros lost 3/5 of their rotation, replaced Marwin Gonzalez with no one. Michael Brantley is hardly ever healthy. They have offense and rotation questions. ZIPS has them having the 2nd most wins behind the Yankees, but I see them similar to the Dodgers of 2018, actually winning far less games than projected, and being in a division race with the Angels and A's in September.
  8. Hubs

    Why is optimism so hard?

    Just remember 02 was 6-14 to start the season.
  9. Hubs

    Optimism for this season

    Agreed. At this point one year ago we didn’t have anything significant at any infield position and nothing much in the upper minors. There were questionable backups at every position. Their bench is stronger and their lineup is as well. Pitching wise they aren’t significantly better in the rotation than last year maybe a little worse but the team also had so many injuries that we never really got to see how that would’ve worked. The one is better and they have a legit closer
  10. Hubs

    Why not try to sign Dallas Keuchel?

    I’d pay that. Try to get him for 18 AAV. 2nd round draft picks are sometimes Patrick Corbin or Tyler Chatwood and sometimes they are Ryan Mount or PJ Phillips. They’ve drafted quality in the 2nd round recently, but none of those picks have made it to the majors yet, so... https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?team_ID=ANA&draft_round=2&draft_type=junreg&query_type=franch_round 3. Dallas was better than people think over the past three years since he won a Cy Young. He gives up hits but doesn’t give up runs. He made 34 starts, which no one on the Angels did. 4. We’re likely in on Gerritt Cole in 2020 FA, it might affect that, although I think Calhoun and Allen are likely gone for 2020 which will save some money. Keuchel would push the budget, no doubt. Cozart is gone after 2020, Simmons and Trout do need to be resigned but while I expect Simmons to get a 25% raise over his cash payroll amount around $16M, Trout will not get 25% more than the 34M he currently makes.
  11. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    Also the three batter thing is only three batters, if they start an inning with no outs. Technically, with a runner on first and one out, the new reliever, technically can only throw one pitch, get a double play, and be done.
  12. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    The new rule doesn't go into effect until 2020, so, if Walsh gets his 20 innings at the ML level this year, he'd immediately qualify as a 2-way for 2020. The Angels don't have a clear left handed relief pitcher in the pen on their 40-man right now, except I suppose Peters, who is probably more of a starter. I expect Jennings to be there, but he's not on the team yet. And they have a full 40-man, and they have to add Peter Bourjos as well, so even by transferring a player like Middelton to the 60-Day DL. I don't see how they could give three guys not on the 40 spots. Middleton gets you one, but then they risk losing people on waivers. Cowart is on the 40-man, and will likely be on the team as he is out of options. He or LaStella, anyway, makes the team. That might give you one spot. I do also feel that they may alter this rule before it goes into effect to be able to designate 2-way players as rookies if they qualified it in AAA the previous season. But they still must have rookie eligibility for this exception.
  13. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    Jones was a 2B in high school, so he's played the position before. But I do think if Mike Moustakas can do it, anyone can. And I am really excited about his potential. My prospect rankings would have him 4th behind Adell, Canning, and Marsh.
  14. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    I need to see more from Rengifo before I'd make him a starter. Jam Jones is the future at 2nd, Ward at 3rd. Don't disagree with you about Marsh either, except I think his timeline due to his injuries is 2021. Upton is under contract for 2019-2022. That last year, assuming Trout is Resigned and Adell is in Right, then Marsh may push Upton to 1B. Thaiss is ready now, and likely will see major league action, but I agree, if Walsh can hit in AAA, and pitch there, he's likely called up before Thaiss. He can play the OF and 1B, and be a RP.
  15. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    I think with the Heaney news, they will look at those two FA. They do have depth, but it looks a lot better later in the season than the first two months.
  16. Hubs

    Two Way Players

    Which Two Way Player (if Any) Starts the Season with The Big Club?)
  17. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    I'd be a fan of signing Keuchel since his price has presumably dropped. I would not like giving up the draft pick, but it's ok.
  18. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    The Angels won the World Series with a rotation that included: Kevin Appier, Aaron Sele, Jarrod Washburn, Ramon Ortiz, Scot Schoenweis, and John Lackey. The staff gave up 644 runs. (1st in the AL) The Angels best pitching staff (by the numbers) in all of Mike Scioscia's 19 seasons was 2011 with Jered Weaver, Dan Haren, Ervin Santana, Tyler Chatwood, Joel Piniero, and Jerome Williams. Scott Kazmir, Matt Palmer and Garrett Richards also started but were largely ineffective. The team gave up only 633 runs. (2nd in the AL) The teams had a few things in common, relatively unknown starters after the top 2 or 3, and brilliant pens. The 2011 Pen of Jordan Walden, Hisanori Takahashi, Downs, Rich Thompson, Fernando Rodney, Bobby Cassevah, and Trevor Bell was a lot of no names...but like 2002, was pretty dominant.
  19. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    I know you love the prospects, I get it, but I just don't have faith that more than 1 in 2 will be solid players. Cozart is not going to go anywhere in 2019, unless he is playing well and they are 5 games back of the WC2 team, as you stated. In which case he makes sense to be traded. Doesn't mean he's going to start, but they will usually not cut players under Moreno until they are in the final year of their deal. Hamilton is the exception, and he had off the field issues. Guys who got cut for performance, only get cut in the last year of the deal. (Abreu, Valbuena - RIP, etc.). Rengifo looks ok, so far, he's not as close as people think. I think he may be a September call-up. I do agree that Ward is going to surprise. Thaiss also looked good this spring, and is likely the primary 1B in 2020. But Bour is going to get the majority of the starts. Walsh, I think actually has a shot to start the season with the team. Hermosillo isn't going to make the team, and I doubt he ever makes an impact for the Angels. Agree that their #1 off-season FA target is Cole.
  20. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    I do not. He has shown occasionally a good start, but he's 6th or 7th at best.
  21. Hubs

    The Angels rotation

    Technically, they are controlled, not signed. Skaggs is controlled through 2020. Heaney through 2021. Ramirez, and Tropeano through 2021 as well. Barria through 2023 (or maybe 2024). Pena though 2023. Canning and Suarez through at least 2024, probably 2025. And Ohtani through at least 2023.
  22. Hubs

    Pujols' Historic Decline Revisited

    http://www.espn.com/blog/new-york/mets/post/_/id/125162/happy-bobby-bonilla-day-his-annual-1-19-million-payday-is-here No deferment unless it was his last two years of salary, and even then, must be deferred over those two years and a max of 6 more. No Bobby Bonilla repeat. (which is why any time Steve Philipps says anything, do the opposite) https://www.halosheaven.com/2018/11/6/18053238/albert-pujols-angels-first-base-dh-age-conundrum He's probably two years older. When he says something happened 28 years ago, when he was 13.... that makes him 41, not 38 like he was when he made that quote. And that's giving him the benefit of the doubt.
  23. Hubs

    Spring Stats

    At what point are we concerned or impressed by spring training stats? I don't think it means much for veterans, whether they are major league all-stars or journeymen. But for young guys, I like to see them perform well in ST, and if they perform poorly, I do get a little concerned. And I do think there are a few jobs up for grabs, and Fletcher, Hermosillo, LaStella aren't really doing well, while Bourjos, Ward, and others are. I just want to know if it's a concern for anyone else seeings a young guy in a competition for a spot hit .143 or something in ST, or if they are impressed by killing the ball like Thaiss or Ward or Rojas.
  24. Hubs

    Spring Stats

    Gotta say, Fletcher looks like he's going to start in AAA.
  25. Tut tut looks like rain. Better stay inside then. Ill love it when the Angels win 95+ this year and make all of you sad negative fans happy for a few minutes. Ward / Fletcher / Rengifo /Jones are all solid if not spectacular now and will all be contributors in 2019 or 2020 at the “black hole” positions of 2nd and 3rd. Adell will debut in 2019, may not have an impact until 2020. Marsh probably debuts in 2020 or 2021.