Hubs

Members
  • Content Count

    2,146
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Hubs

  1. So, on the 14th of June, with 69 Games played and 93 to go, needing to go 57-36 roughly to secure a playoff spot, should the Angels go For it? I know the history here is not to mortgage the farm, to wait for the next wave of young guys, but...If they are playing well in two weeks, do they go for it? I realize the division is quite a bit out of play right now, 12 games and the Astros won't likely collapse like the A's did in 2014 (Around this point in the season, the Angels were 4.5 games back of the A's, at 37-32). But the Wild Card(s) are both within reach. This team's biggest weakness is its starting pitching. The team's offense is tied for 5th best OPS+ with the Yankees in All of MLB, 4th best in the AL. They're offensive WAR is 6th right now in the AL, at 11 WAR. But they rank 8th in total WAR because their total SP is at 0.5 WAR, and their relief WAR is actually #1 at 4.2. Trading for a starter would significantly help this team and give them a shot at the playoffs. Trading for 2 starters puts them in the playoffs. Now I know this costs prospects and likely puts them over the tax threshold or right up against it. The two I think the Angels should target are Bumgarner and Greinke. one is under contract for the next two seasons, and one is a free agent. Bumgarner isn't the MadBum of old, but a change of scenery probably helps the lefty starter get back to his old form. He's 30 on August 1, which is fine. He's a free agent after the season. Bumgarner will cost prospects, he only makes $12M, which means about an $8M add. While I'm sure Giants will push for Jo Adell and Canning, a starter with a 3.8 ERA and half a season of control doesn't warrant that type of return. In 2012, Greinke was a similar position to where Bumgarner is now.It cost the Angels two double A right handers and a solid (likely their #1 prospect at the time) player in Jean Segura. If the Giants got Brandon Marsh, and say Patrick Sandoval or Jaime Barria, and a young OF like DeVeaux...would that be enough? Adding Cahill to the deal reduces the salary, but I don't think that's gonna happen. I'm fairly confident they could put together a package, likely centering around Marsh. The deal would likely be all prospects, or young guys, no significant salary changing hands. Trading for the D'Backs Greinke would be a little more complex. I don't expect any top prospects to be moved in a Greinke deal unless the D'Backs ate some salary, and honestly I don't see them eating salary. They have almost no one on the books for 2020 and beyond. They could sweeten the deal with better prospects if they ate significant salary. I'd think this deal starts centering around Rengifo, you need to add a young controllable starter like Suarez. I'd say you add Matt Thaiss or Jam Jones. So three young guys. But in this deal, I think they move Harvey & Cozart back. For 2019 and for 2020 they basically reduce the 70M in 2020 and 2021 to $12.67 and reduce the $$ in 2019 by $12. They're saving $70M, and getting three good prospects in return. For the Angels in 2019, you get rid of Harvey, Cozart, and Hopefully Cahill. You lose 6 young guys, yes, and reduce your payroll flexibility in 2020 and 2021, (though some of that is deferred). The Angels also could move Calhoun in either deal (to the D'Backs makes more sense), which may help the overall package. Perhaps the D'Backs or Giants would want more projectable younger guys. Adding two elite starters to a trio of guys in Heaney, Skaggs and Canning, who all are pitching well... You have Upton, Simmons, and maybe Adell coming on offensively. Either of these guys would help the Angels playoff chances immensely, but both?
  2. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Ohtani, Suarez, and Canning will have options, Barria too. I suppose they could pull that with Suarez and Barria, but I see them having at least Skaggs and Heaney back as well, so that's 5. Adding a FA starter or A FA starter and one via trade, keeps this intact. More Likely they have a pen guy they can start if they play more than 6 games a week. Like Pena or Ramirez. Remember though if they carry 12 pitchers, 12 hitters and Ohtani, that's a 7 man pen, or a 3 man bench. SP Greinke/Ohtani/FA/Heaney/Canning/ (1 of Skaggs or Suarez or Sandoval) RP Middleton/Robles/Anderson/Buttrey/Bedrosian/JC Ramirez/Pena Trout/Upton/Adell/ (1 of Goodwin/Puello/Calhoun/Hermosillio) Simmons/Pujols/Fletcher/LaStella (2 of Ward/Cozart/Rengifo/Bour/Thaiss) Lucroy/Smith
  3. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    You have to look at teams that are legit out of the race. And by that I mean either 10+ games out of division and wildcard. AL STANDINGS: HOU/TEX/OAK/LAA/SEA -- Only Seattle can likely not enter the playoff race at this point. Mike Leake and Wade LeBlanc may be available. NYY/TB/BOS/TOR/BAL -- Toronto is likely not in the race, and neither is Baltimore. Boston is near our record, and obviously are built to win. Toronto has Stroman and he's likely to get moved, but as is he is cheap and under control, he'll cost a lot. MIN/CLE/CWS/DET/KC -- Detroit and KC are both out of the race. White Sox and Cleveland are at or near our record. Sox aren't built to win now, but also don't have a lot of tradeable assets. The KC staff is arugably worse than ours, and even Duffy has some concerns. NL STANDINGS: ATL/PHI/NYM/WAS/MIA -- Washington and Miami are out of the race. Washington can maybe still salvage their season. Scherzer is a pipe dream. Mets are also under .500. De Grom is a pipe dream. MIL/CHC/STL/CIN/PIT -- Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are out of the race, likely, but not that far out. Neither really have bad contracts in starting pitching or guys they'd need to part with. I suppose Alex Wood is a guy they could look at, but he's currently injured. LAD/COL/ARI/SD/SF -- Only SF is out, SD is under .500 and the other teams are only a few games over, but selling Greinke makes sense for the D'Backs, cuz they sold everyone in the offseason and didn't bring back either of their FA. I'm on MadBum and Greinke still.
  4. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Guess I got the games mixed up.
  5. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Skaggs hasn’t been great but Heaney has only had three starts, one of which he gave up 5 runs because the pitcher who relieved him gave up a bunch of inherited runners. He’s pitching better than his number shows and it’s a small sample size
  6. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Greinke has a 2.65 ERA, MadBum at 3.83.
  7. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    I also want to point out that the Angels would, if they got Greinke AND MadBum have three of the best hitting pitchers in baseball, all in the AL, where they don't get to hit.
  8. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Greinke also has $10.5 M deferred, with $11 M deferred in each of the next two seasons. He is a front line type starter. He also had a no trade clause which includes the Angels. MadBum's does not.
  9. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    True. I hope the Astros collapse, but...
  10. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    Bumgarner is owed $12 for 2019, is a free agent and is just about to turn 30. Samardzija is owed $36M for 19 and 20. That's $30M in new dollars for 2019/ prorated for the 57% of the season, so adds $17M to the payroll, which doesn't put them over the threshold, even without trading some salary back. Drop out Harvey for instance, and you then only add $11M in new dollars for 2019, and $18M in 2020.
  11. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    The St Louis Blues had 34 points (15 W, 18 L, 4 OL) on the mornings of January 3. roughly 45% of the way through their season. That's the worst record in the entire league. They finished with 99 points. (45-28, 9 OL)...1 point shy of the division, and then just won the Stanley Cup a few days ago. The Angels are 42.5% complete with their season and are in the middle of the pack at 34-35.
  12. Hubs

    Going For It... Blues Style

    I was trying to be outside the box. Perhaps, Bumgarner and Samardizja would make more sense. Not as elite as Greinke, and Harvey or Cahill has to go in return, in addition to two-three good prospects.
  13. I really hate this bull shit argument. Los Angeles is the 2nd largest city in the USA, and OC, especially North OC, is very much part of the metro area. If they played in Commerce or Santa Fe Springs or Pasadena or Long Beach, no one would have ever worried about this, and if Disney hadn't changed their name to "Anaheim" they'd have still been the California Angels. When Autry moved from Chavez to Anaheim in 1966, there wasn't a lot between Downtown LA and Disneyland. That is not the case today. Do you drive the 5 South from LA and see a clear dividing line between "LA" and OC other than that the road gets nicer after all the construction? If they move to Long Beach, I hope this shit argument stops.
  14. Hubs

    Will they trade Calhoun?

    I actually think if Kole stays this productive at the plate, and even goes on a tear for a month like he did last year, that his option will be exercised. Look, Adell is going to be here in 2020. Is he going to be immediately MVP level like Soto, Acuna Jr., or even Trout? We don't know. And it shouldn't be expected. If Adell is in Right, and Upton in Left, then Kole is basically the 4th OF, and Goodwin is also there. How do you keep them all happy with playing time? Calhoun is a legit Gold Glove defender, and his defense may be wasted at 1st, but he's a good option to take over the Bour role, and be a part time OF.
  15. Hubs

    William Wilson

    Hey so some of you who know me on social media know that my grandfather passed in May of last year. He and I really bonded over Angels baseball in the past 25 years as we always went to one game at least when I was a kid when we’d go to his rental beach house in Newport Beach every summer. In recent years we’d always watch games together and we watched game 7 together in 2002 spontaneously (he drove up to LA from Palm Springs for the game) because we wanted to celebrate together when they won. His name was William “Bill” Wilson. So I have a new favorite prospect. (I also Attached a photo of him and my grandmother with CJ’s dad. I’d gotten them Wilson jerseys and he spotted hem when they were in the crowd. Not a lot of Wilson jerseys in the crowd in 2014.)
  16. Hubs

    William Wilson

    Thanks Lou. I didn’t post about it last year but since the team drafted a kid named Will Wilson who is exactly the type of player my grandfather loved...scrappy guys like Eckstein or Erstad were his favorites. He liked Bourjos and Figgins and those type of guys. He liked Johnny Giovatella and Would’ve loved Fletcher. Now I’ll root for this Wilson kid to be the next in this mold of player which by all accounts he is.
  17. Hubs

    If we are going to buy...

    Yes, I meant return from Injury. You have to look at this club and say, where could they be better? Are there available options that are attainable in that area? And honestly, the biggest most easy answer is starting pitching.
  18. Hubs

    If we are going to buy...

    And yes, they should be looking at returns from Upton, Simmons, JC Ramirez, and Key Middelton at or near the All-Star Break, so they can set themselves up nicely for the second half with a nice stretch here.
  19. Hubs

    If we are going to buy...

    Is today the makeup game in Wrigley? Winning that, then doing well in this home stand against Oakland, Seattle and the Dogs will determine a lot for me. The offense is clicking right now, and with Upton due back soon...Harvey is likely back after his 10 day IL stint to pitch against Seattle on Friday or Saturday. Heaney gets the other one, and then Cahill goes again on Sunday? Cahill goes today with Canning, Pena, and Skaggs slotted against the A's. I think Suarez can be back for the series in Tampa, if Cahill continues to struggle and Harvey doesn't come back strong. We'd have Canning in the series against the Dodgers and then probably Pena in the other. But potentially, Keuchel could be ready for Tampa as well. This month's and the week before the All Star Break schedule is actually really an easy one. Tough games against the Cubs, Dodgers, Rays, and Houston (10), in the next 33 games. They face winnable series against teams like Cincinnati, St. Louis, Oakland, Texas (16 games) and then terrible teams like Seattle and Toronto (7). Getting to 6-10 games over .500 in this stretch would be ideal. Going 5-5 against the tough teams, 10-6 against the mediocre ones, and 5-2 against the terrible ones would make the Angels 20-13 in this stretch which means going into the break at 49-43, 6 games over on pace for 86 wins. By doing slightly better, 6-4, 11-5, and 6-1, respectively, they'd be at 23-10, and head into the break at 52-40, which is on pace for a 92 win season. We'll know what kind of second half they'll be looking (buyers or sellers) at at the break. If they don't do well and end up say 17-16, They'd be at .500 at 46-46. This stretch is going to tell us a lot.
  20. Couldn't they have just sent LaStella down? He has options. Bourjos is likely to clear waivers though.
  21. Plus he's not playing after being injured in the Spring.
  22. We needed him when we signed him because: We had Kaleb Cowart and Luis Valbuena slotted to start. Yunel Escobar is out of the league. Kinsler hadn't been acquired. Rengifo hadn't been acquired. La Stella hadn't been acquired. Fletcher really hadn't hit yet. Ward was a Catcher. Espinosa sucked in 2016. Brandon Phillips sucked in 2017. Cozart had 1 1/2 solid years with the bat, prior to signing with us, so we took a shot. It hasn't panned out. Should they have signed him? No. Should they have signed someone else? Yes. Is retroactively complaining about a guy who looked good, and has had a lot of injury concerns stupid? Also yes.
  23. Hubs

    Bourjos Back!

    Signed a Minor League Deal!
  24. Hubs

    Cozart

    I agree Cozarts Walk year is a lot better than we saw in 2018, or so far this year but he’ll probably finish the year somewhere between a .700 and .800 OPS. That’s fine. Relax and remember that the Angels has basically nothing at 2nd or 3rd in the minors when they signed him as Fletcher hadn’t had a minor league season above a .700 OPS and he was the highest rated. Ward was still a Catcher, Rengifo was still a Ray, and Valbuena (RIP) was coming off a .199 average season. No one else who was a FA that season besides Moustakas has been a good signing at 2nd or 3rd.
  25. Hubs

    Kirby Yates

    Yates actually pitched one inning for us in April of 2017, after being selected from the Yankees the previous winter. He gave up 2 ER. They DFA’d him when they acquired David Hernandez from the Braves two days later.