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About jessecrall

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  1. jessecrall

    Ohtani DH question

    I can't find specific data quickly enough to make it worth my while but he definitely improved statistically against lefties as the season went on. Coming into September, he had a .509 OPS against them so if he ended at .654, he obviously made serious progress over the last month. He also LOOKED much more comfortable against them in the 2nd half. He didn't have the "bailing out on pitches that hit the inside corner" or "flailing at breaking balls low and away" at bats that we saw early on.
  2. jessecrall

    Heyman on Trout, not good...

    Nah. It's entirely reasonable for Trout to want to see the Angels develop for one more season. Also, they're currently a fringe contender that could obviously use a 9 WAR megastar on their roster. If he's wishy washy in January 2020, then sure, you look into trading him for a smaller but not-insignificant return. But why tick him off now by putting him on the block?
  3. jessecrall

    Why didn't the Angels go after Harper/Machado.

    Calhoun's value is rock-bottom and Upton has a no trade clause. I think it makes a lot more sense to play out 2019 with the expectation (and hope) that Adell can take over in right, Marsh will push Upton to 1st if he's ready in a couple of years and if he isn't, Knowles or Adams should be by the time Upton's deal is done. And if you extend Trout at some point in the next 11 months, you can then fill in blanks with, say, Arenado or Cole depending on how the farm develops.
  4. jessecrall

    Heyman on Trout, not good...

    It's entirely reasonable for Trout to wait another year to see how the Angels look moving forward. The Angels will be competitive financially and they have a strong fan base/market. If the Angels look like a strong team with a young core by the end of 2019, I'd be surprised if he didn't sign.
  5. jessecrall

    Angels the "Mystery Team" in on Machado?

    Well, Jeff flat-out said on here that he wouldn't want Machado anywhere near his clubhouse and since he isn't prone to hyperbole, that's a pretty bold statement. Do you want a full decade of headaches? Do you want a bad clubhouse guy hanging around when his skills start to erode? And from a stats perspective, would you expect a non-hustler with clear attitude problems to age well? Machado MIGHT age well, he has a broad enough skill set that it's possible. But he also may very well be the kind of player who looks at his bank account and job security and decides he really doesn't need to put in 100% effort on the field, off the field, in practice, in training...That's not a huge deal if you're 24 and under team control. But if you're expecting that guy to make ~$300 mil and hang around into his mid-30's, it's an issue.
  6. jessecrall

    Angels the "Mystery Team" in on Machado?

    Trout. Mookie. Extensions for Acuna & Soto. Bregman. Lindor. Obviously, the AAV matters but the odds of them either remaining productive for the next 10 years or being big enough stars for the 1st half that you can live with the ensuing decline are pretty good.
  7. jessecrall

    Jo Adell Comps

    And an absolute monster (1.083 OPS) the year before. It's fluky, he'll be fine.
  8. jessecrall

    Angels the "Mystery Team" in on Machado?

    Ozzie played at an All Star-level through the age of 37 and Omar held his defensive value into his 40s...they're anomalies and it would be incredibly naive to EXPECT Simmons to repeat that paradigm...but it is possible.
  9. jessecrall

    One Bold Idea....

    Marsh is probably the best defensive outfielder in their system. I imagine Upton would move to 1B if Marsh is good enough to start (assuming Trout's extended & Adell's a regular by 2021).
  10. jessecrall

    Angels the "Mystery Team" in on Machado?

    It should be noted that Machado's defense did a complete 180 with the Dodgers and so even with the drop in offense, he was more valuable on a per-game basis with the Dogs than he was with the Orioles in 2018. Not that I'm advocating signing him, nor do I think the Angels will...
  11. jessecrall

    Jo Adell Comps

    The legit hype around Adell, ie the reports from real scouts and journalists as opposed to cheerleaders, is that he has star potential, a developing but still-risky hit tool and currently boasts a 60 future value on the 20-80 scale. He COULD, if all his tools really flourish, do more I suppose, but right now, he has + regular/All Star potential, right in line with what Springer & Upton have amounted to in their careers. That's really good. If he has 4 seasons like that under team control, the Angels will absolutely take that as opposed to worrying that he isn't Trout or Mooookie or whoever.
  12. jessecrall

    Jo Adell Comps

    In 2015, Springer's was 28.8, 2016 it was 28.4 and in 2017 it was 28.0. So that's very consistent, steady decline. Not that sprint speed is perfect metric or anything but yeah, he's probably lost a solid step over the last few years.
  13. jessecrall

    Jo Adell Comps

    Springer was drafted at 21 and didn't hit the majors until he was 24; Upton debuted at 19 and was a very good big league regular at 21. Adell seems to be tracking a little closer to the Upton path, hopefully. If he can basically be a more consistent Upton, I'd be happy. His sprint speed last year averaged 27.7 feet per second (27 is average, 30 is elite, Trout's usually a little over 29). Justin Upton was at 27.9 so it's pretty good but not necessarily the level of elite basestealers unless you can accelerate quickly or REALLY study pitchers.
  14. Ottavino's gonna want a lot of money for a 33-year-old reliever coming off 1 great season that followed 1 mediocre season that followed 2 injury-marred seasons. Do I want him in a vacuum? Yeah. Do I want him for a multi-year, 8-figure AAV that will tighten money up from other players over the next couple of seasons? Not really.
  15. jessecrall

    Another Article about Trout and Phillies

    Yeah, people are seriously overestimating the lure of playing for your hometown team. For one thing, during the season, you're still on the road half the time so what you're really assuming is that Trout's going to base his next contract on 81 game days plus some off-days for a team that plays 40 miles away from his home. As the article says, it's a FACTOR but if Trout was so set on Philly or the east in general, he probably wouldn't have signed the initial extension or he would have made it clear to Eppler & Co. by now that he plans on bouncing. If the Angels are still spinning their wheels after this season and the Phillies are a contender with money to burn, then I'd start to worry. Also, and granted I'm biased because I've lived in El Lay my entire life, is there a better place to play ball than Southern California? You don't get rainouts, you don't get snow games like the one in Kansas City this year, you don't get that midwestern humidity...How many night games in Anaheim are 75 degrees and clear? Trout loves following bad weather but I doubt he enjoys trying to play in it.