Angelsjunky

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Angelsjunky last won the day on December 30 2018

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About Angelsjunky

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  1. Angelsjunky

    2019: How it all went right

    Says a teacher of children.
  2. Angelsjunky

    2019: How it all went right

    On a serious note, though, what you describe actually could happen. I'd give it about a 10% chance, but that isn't so bad. The main reason it probably won't happen is not that anything you wrote is outlandish, but that all of it happening is, well, outlandish. I'd say disaster is about 10% (<75 wins), mediocrity 40% (75-84 wins), performing well is 30% (85-89 wins), and great 20% (90+ wins), with your outcome being the best of that last range. p.s. In one or two places you bent the truth a little bit, such as Harvey's velocity "spiking" at the end of 2018. It was higher in the second half, but didn't really "spike."
  3. Angelsjunky

    2019: How it all went right

    I can't wait for the follow-up post, ghostwritten by floglag and Troll Daddy.
  4. Angelsjunky

    Machado to Padres....

    Not sure if this has been mentioned, but for comparison's sake: Machado: 10/$300M (2019-2028) A-Rod: 10/$252M (2001-10) Machado's contract adjusted to 2001: 10/$210M A-Rod's contract adjusted to 2019: 10/$358M That latter number--10/$358M--is probably the minimum Trout will get, which makes sense considering that A-Rod in his prime is pretty close to Trout now.
  5. Angelsjunky

    2018 Hot Stove League

    I can't help but hope that Borass's game of chicken ends up screwing his client. I don't think it will, and I suspect Harper will end up with 10/$330M. I'm guessing he started with the hope that he'd get $400M and is now trying to get $350M but has only been offered $300M. But I suspect that his and Harper's shared ego simply will not handle anything less than 10/$330M so that Harper gets the biggest contract in sports history. If he doesn't get that, I wouldn't be surprised to see him accept one of these rumored 2-3 year, huge AAV deals with an opt out. Maybe he takes 3/$110M, gets the highest AAV ever, and can opt out after 2019 and try again.
  6. I noticed this a few months ago - just amazing, if you think about it. Sullivan loves himself some Troutporn. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mike-trout-has-been-as-good-as-manny-machado-and-bryce-harper-combined/
  7. I'm procrastinating a work project that I don't want to deal with, so thought I'd have a bit of fun. Here are my specific predictions for our top 10: 1. Adell - Has his ups and downs in AA before taking off and crushing it by around mid-season; is called up to AAA, loves the high air of Salt Lake, and earns a September call-up. It will become both very clear that he's a future star, but also that he needs more development. 2. Canning - Adjusts and is dominant in AAA, although with a Salt Lake-inflated ERA (mid 3.00s?). Depending upon the health of the major league club, he'll get somewhere between 5-15 starts in the majors. 5 if the rotation is healthy and the Angels just want to season him a bit for next year; 15 if the fit hits the shan. I could see him having a Weaver-esque major league half season. 3. Marsh - Big breakthrough. He'll dominant A+ and be called up to AA quickly, where he'll spend the rest of the year, getting better as he goes along. By year's end he'll have just about caught up to Adell in terms of development, although probably won't earn a cup o coffee until 2020. 4. Suarez - Similar to Canning, although might be up and down more. He's going to sneak up on a lot of people and be a good pitcher in the majors, perhaps as soon as this year. He'll be more than the sum of hhis parts, similar to Barria (although with higher upside, I believe). 5. Jones - A strong year, mostly in AA, but maybe slightly disappointing in that he won't dominate. Not as big of a breakout as Marsh. 6. Rengifo - Stabilizes in AAA and starts earning time in the majors, perhaps taking over as the super UT by year's end. 7. Adams - A year of transforming athleticism into skill. He'll show flashes of brilliance and star potential, but will be raw and won't be rushed. 8. Ward - I'd like to say otherwise, but my gut says quad-A. He'll be better than Wood/Cowart, but will struggle to be a league average hitter in the majors - at least right away. I see maybe 200-250 PA in the majors but mostly in AAA. 9. P Sandoval - Will have a strong year in AA/AAA and be in a similar role as Suarez and Canning next year. 10. Thaiss - I don't know what to think. There's one scenario where I see him taking a big step forward and being a candidate for the starting 1B job by year's end; there's another scenario, equally likely, where he never becomes anything more than a platoon player in the majors. I think 2019 will tell us which is the likely scenario and its about 50-50.
  8. A touched a nerve, didn't I? Seriously though, I'm less of a homer and more of an optimist. The two overlap but aren't quite the same thing.
  9. Whoever wrote it sounds like a moron.
  10. Before and After Fletcher's contribution to this thread:
  11. Be in a reality tv version of the Human Centipede.
  12. A Salma Hayek/Penelope Cruz threesome.