Angelsjunky

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Angelsjunky last won the day on September 6

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About Angelsjunky

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  1. Angelsjunky

    How many more years will Trout play CF?

    It is a combination of factors: 1. When someone better defensively is ready (maybe 2020) 2. When Trout dips below average at CF (maybe in his early 30s, so 2022-25ish) 3. When Trout no longer wants to play CF (when he's obvoiusly below average, see above) The Angels have a handful of prospects that could be better defensively, with projected major league ETAs: Hermosillo (2019), Adell (2020), Marsh (2020), Adams (2021), Knowles (2021), Deveaux (2022). Hermosillo probably won't be a starter with the Angels so isn't a threat to push him over. The soonest would be Adell/Marsh in 2020, and then another wave in 2021/22. I don't see Trout moving over until 2022, his age 30 season, but probably not until 2023 or 2024 when I think he'll graciously move over for one of the younger guys.
  2. Angelsjunky

    Pujols Is Done.... Less Than 200 AB's In 2019.

    .300/.370/.580, 40 HR, 130 RBI.
  3. Angelsjunky

    Machado

    Puig gets a free pass because he was essentially kidnapped and sold into baseball slavery.
  4. Angelsjunky

    Machado

    I could see Machado following a Han-Ram type career trajectory: Great while young and lithe (gay?), but declined and erratic starting in his late 20s and basically done in his mid-30s.
  5. Angelsjunky

    Blockbuster deal with Arizona

    Let's just measure each others' genitals.
  6. Angelsjunky

    Outside of the Box

    Trade Ward and Baldoquin to Dipoto for James Paxton. Give Rickey Henderson extensive stem cell treatments and give him the starting LF job as the leadoff hitter, moving Upton to RF. Thaw Ted Williams' head and attach it to the body of an athletic Dominican teenager and hope for the best.
  7. Angelsjunky

    How many more years will Trout play CF?

    As long as he wants, basically.
  8. Angelsjunky

    How has Eppler performed so far?

    Stradlng?! No way. Pretty much exactly this. My gut said 8, then I thought about it a bit and dropped to 7, then remembered "Ohtani" and went back to 8. LIke you, if he extends Trout this offseason he goes to a 9; if he doesn't he drops to a 7, although that too will be adjusted depending upon the rest of his offseason moves.
  9. What do you mean? I jerk off with your parents in the room all the time.
  10. Angelsjunky

    Angels opt out of stadium lease in Anaheim

    I sensed Chuck's massive boner from across the Pacific Ocean.
  11. What excites me about Rengifo is the combination of OBP and speed, something that seems more rare these days. Let's take a look...below is a list of players with .370+ OBP and 30+ SB, each year going back to 2010, and then every five years before that. As you can see, there are eras in which OBP-SB combo waxed and waned. It was the norm during the Dead Ball Era (before (1919), then faded away during the 1920s and was virtually gone from the 1930s through the 1960s. The 1970s, perhaps with the dawn of astro turf, saw a resurgence, which lasted into the mid-90s, but then faded since then. It hasn't disappeared but is more rare. (And yes, I somehow found myself spending an hour doing this, while watching The Wedding Singer for the first time; such is single life): Here's the list: 2018 (3). Mookie Betts (.438, 30), Lorenzo Cain (.395, 30), Jose Ramirez (.388, 34) 2017 (1). Jose Altuve (.410, 32) 2016 (3). Mike Trout (.441, 30), Paul Goldschmidt (.411, 32), Jose Altuve (.396, 30) 2015 (0). None 2014 (1). Jose Altuve (.377, 56) 2013 (1). Mike Trout (.432, 33) 2012 (2).: Mike Trout (.399, 49), Ryan Braun (.391, 30) 2011 (4).: Matt Kemp (.399, 40), Jacoby Ellsbury .376, 39), Jose Reyes (.384, 39), Ryan Braun (.397, 33), 2010 (2). Brett Gardner (.383, 47), Hanley Ramirez (.378, 32) 2005 (1).: Bobby Abreu (.405, 31) 2000 (4). Luis Castillo (.418, 62), Johnny Damon (.382, 46), Rafael Furcal (.394, 40), Robert Alomar (.378, 39), 1995 (8). Barry Bonds (.431, 31), Quilvio Veras (.384, 56), Barry Larkin (.394, 51), Chuck Knoblauch (.424, 46), Reggie Sanders (.397, 36), Craig Biggio (.406, 33), Rickey Henderson (.407, 32), Brett Butler (.377, 32) 1990 (9). Rickey Henderson (.439, 65), Barry Bonds (.406, 52), Brett Butler (.397, 51), Tim Raines (.379, 49), Bip Roberts (.375, 46), Delino DeShields (.375, 42), Lenny Dykstra (.418, 33), Julio Franco (.383, 31), Willie McGee (.373, 31), 1985 (5). Rickey Henderson (.419, 80), Tim Raines (.405, 70), Willie McGee (.384, 56), Brett Butler (.377, 47), Tom Herr (.379, 31) 1980 (8). Rickey Henderson (.420, 100), Miguel Dilone (.375, 61), Cesar Cedeno (.389, 48), Billy North (.373, 45), Al Bumbry (.392, 44), Lee Mazzilli (.370, 41), Paul Molitor (.372, 34), Willie Randolph (.427, 30) 1975 (6). Joe Morgan (.466, 67), Cesar Cedeno (.371, 50), Rod Carew (.421, 35), Jose Cardenal (.397, 34), Bobby Bonds (.375, 30), Billy North (.373, 30) 1970 (4).: Bobby Tolan (.384, 57), Bobby Bonds (.375, 48), Joe Morgan (.383, 42), Tommy Harper (.377, 38) 1965 (1). Jimmy Wynn (.371, 43) 1960 (0). None 1955 (0). None 1950 (0). None 1945 (2). Stuffy Stirnweiss (.385, 33), George Myatt (.378, 30) 1940 (0). None 1935 (0). None 1930 (1). Kiki Cuyler (..428, 37) 1925 (3). Kiki Cuyler (.423, 41), Max Carey (.418, 46), Johnny Mostil (.400, 43) 1920 (3). Sam Rice (.381, 63), George Sisler (.449, 42), Edd Roush (.386, 36) 1915 (7). Ty Cobb (.486, 96), Benny Kauff (.446, 55), Eddie Collins (.460, 46), Burt Shotton (.409, 43), Ward Miller (.400, 44), Claude Cooper (.388, 41), Baldy Louden (.372, 30) 1910 (10). Eddie Collins (.382, 81), Ty Cobb (.456, 65), Dode Paskert (.389, 51), Sherry Magee (.445, 49), Clyde Milan (.379, 44), Josh Devore (.371, 43), Tris Speaker (.404, 35), Miller Huggins (.399, 34), Fred Snodgrass (.440, 33), Johnny Bates (.385, 31) 1905 (5). Honus Wagner (.427, 57), Frank Chance (.450, 38), Topsy Hartsel (.409, 37), Elmer Flick (.383, 35), Mike Donlin (.413, 33) 1900 (10). George Van Haltren (.371, 45), Jimmy Barrett (.400, 44), Willie Keeler (.402, 41), Honus Wagner (.434, 38), Roy Thomas (.451, 37), Kip Selbach (.425, 36), Elmer Flick (.441, 35), Fielder Jones (.383, 33), Jesse Burkett (.429, 32), Billy Hamilton (.449, 32)
  12. I hear your point, but to be fair we were talking about good but possible outcomes - so on the optimistic side of things, not the pobable or median outcome. For each of the three, I see something like in terms of outcomes with a decent chance of happening: JONES High: .280/.370/.460, 20 HR, 30 SB Middle: .270/.350/.430, 15 HR, 25 SB Low: .250/.330/.380, 10 HR, 20 SB RENGIFO High: .300/.400/.460, 15 HR, 40 SB Middle: .280/.370/.420, 10 HR, 30 SB Low: .250/.340/.350, 5 HR, 25 SB MARSH High: .290/.380/.500, 25 HR, 20 SB Middle: .280/.350/.450, 15 HR, 15 SB Low: .260/.330/.400, 10 HR, 10 SB Those are all just pulled out of my ass, oviously, but the point is that there's a range for each, and the .370 OBP is somewhere north of middle range. Rengifo is the only one for whom I see .370 as middle; the others it is high.
  13. I'm not sure I get the Reddick comp, unless you are talking straight tools. But even then, Marsh seems to have much better plate discipline and will hit for a higher average (Reddick's career is .262 BA, 8.4 BB%). Marsh will also probably steal a few more bases. Reddick's about as average as can be. Maybe Reddick Plus? From a numbers perspective, I could see Marsh being something like Rusty Greer - although translated to the current context, so lower BA. Maybe .290/.370/.480 with 20-25 HR and 15 SB a year. Or that's my hope. But I suspect Marsh wll be packaged in a trade and play most of his career elsewhere.
  14. Jones might have the widest range of outcomes, but yeah - maybe Rengifo has the best likely outcome. I think you're being conservative about Rengifo's readiness for the starting gig. Remember, he held his own in AAA already; does he need a year and a half? I don't think so. I think he'll get the call if and when someone gets injured, and will work his way in as a super utility player this year. My hope is that he impresses enough that he's lined up to be the starting 2B on Opening Day of 2020, but with 200+ major league PA already during 2019. But I agree with your general numbers. I find myself more excited about Rengifo because of his on-base/speed combo that could make him the best leadoff hitter we've had since Figgins. But I also think I tend to over-value performance vs. projectible tools, so am probably over-compensating when I seesaw back to Jones (I keep flip-flopping them on my own top 30).
  15. Angelsjunky

    Jean Segura?

    I like Segura, obviously, but just don't see 2B as a huge need with Cozart, Fletcher, Rengifo, and eventually Jones all capable of providing at least league average results, potentially more - and for much cheaper. Eppler has bigger fish to fry with 1B, 3B, RF, and C all being weak spots in the lineup, not to mention pitching. I think we'll see an upgrade at C and at one of 1B/3B/RF, but he'll fill 2B from within.