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totdprods last won the day on January 18

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About totdprods

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  • Birthday 07/10/1986

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  1. totdprods

    American League Playoffs Set?

    The Mariners are really getting lucky. There are a lot of warning signs - doesn't mean it'll translate to losses though - reminds me of the Rangers a couple years back when they won the division. Dee Gordon, since moving back to 2B. As a CF (185 PA): .314/.339/.395/.734 - 3 walks, 27 K, 15-17 in SB attempts As a 2B (101 PA): .250/.260/.302/.562 - 1 walk, 14 K, 4-7 in SB attempts Also, yes, Dee Gordon has four walks this year a 1.4 BB%, which is low even by his paltry standards (career 4.2%, '17 3.6%) Mitch Haniger: First 27 games: .309/.384/.701/1.085 with 6 doubles, triple, 10 HR, 12 BB, 26 K Nest 47 games: .233/.323/.375/.698 with 5 doubles, triple, 6 HR, 22 BB, 46 K Segura is a badass, but his BAbip (.372) is a little high over his career norm of .323 Paxton had a 5.12 ERA in his first 6 starts, a sparkling 1.67 ERA in his next 6 starts, and now a 5.73 ERA in his last 4 starts. Dipoto has traded away almost anything resembling depth. That train could fly off the rails at any time with injuries or some bad breaks, or they could luck out like Texas did and hold on. All the Angels can do is fix their issues and start winning.
  2. I'm guessing Paredes goes down today and McGuire takes his spot. I'm really failing to see any potential in Paredes - 42 hits (5 HR) allowed in 35.2 career IP with 12 walks and just okay strikeouts doesn't bode well. He's still young and has options though. I like what I'm seeing from Lamb. I don't think he'll ever be dominant or someone we could count on regularly, but as a multi-inning reliever/spot starter he'd be handy. Being out of options, it'll be interesting to see how long the club sticks with him and values what he brings. Should he wind up being DFA'ed, I could see it being the dawn of the Suarez era. Noe Ramirez is quietly one of the best parts of this team. He's had to roll with the punches and eat a few innings, but he's slowly creeping into filling some of the void we lost when Petit walked: Noe 2018: 3.09 FIP, 1.23 WHIP, 7.7 H9, 0.8 HR9, 3.4 BB9, 11.3 K9 - 17 of 33 games are multi-inning (51%) YPetit '17: 2.85 FIP, 0.95 WHIP, 6.8 H9, 0.9 HR9, 1.8 BB9, 10.0 K9 - 35 of 60 games were multi-inning (58%) Not sure how much longer Justin Anderson can continue getting away with allowing a walk and hit every inning pitched. If he could trim at least one or the other down, he'd become one hell of a reliever.
  3. totdprods

    Totally different team when...

    In the last two games, with 2 HR, he's almost matched his total number of XBH hits that he had through his first 50 games - three (1 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR). Seriously, one double in his first 185 plate appearances. That's craaaazy.
  4. Jinx powers are strong right now. Duensing last night: 4 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K - 60 pitches, 40 strikes Other highlights: AAA Eric Young Jr. played some 2B after an apparent injury to Nolan Fontana. Blash hit HR #19, Rymer Liriano #14 Miguel Almonte is back in SLC and could factor into our rotation depth by end of year AA Jason Alexander continues to have a nice year - 13 G, 4.05 ERA, 66.2 IP, .224 BAA, 1.14 WHIP, 20 BB, 63 K Connor Lillis-White - 37 IP, 3.65 ERA, 17 BB, 48 K, .225 BAA Tyler Stevens - 25 G, 37.1 IP, 2.17 ERA, .191 BAA, 0.99 WHIP, 10 BB, 51 K AZL D'Shawn Knowles went 2-3 with 2B, 3 R, and 2 BB in his first start, playing CF DSL Jose Reyes (17 yr. old OF) showing good patience (10 BB) and power (6 XBH) through 16 games
  5. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    What should I do with this incredible new power
  6. totdprods

    Bullpen Options

    Two relievers with that much control would cost a huge chunk of the farm for an awful lot of risk. I can’t see Eppler breaking that far from his standard operating procedure.
  7. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    I readily admit I do not know enough about advanced metrics or Fangraphs to determine more if he's reversed or bettered any of the more advanced red flags he was facing - perhaps someone here can look into it - but with my limited knowledge looking at stats... His GB/FB rate this year is 0.54 - his career average is 0.55. His line drive % is 25% - career average is 23%. His XBH% is 9% - up from last year, and right in line with his career average of 8.7%. His SO% has dropped to 8.3% this year - way down from last year's 14% and his career mark of 12.3%, and his BB% is at 8.3%, right in line with career average of 8.7%. I don't see anything particularly alarming. For the record, I still would rather roll with Fletcher and Fernandez in place of Kinsler and Valbuena next year, and throw or save that money for pitching, but again, with Eppler's past track record of sticking with stopgap vets over youth, I could see Kinsler playing his way into a one-year deal. And I don't think .250, 20 HR, 30 2B, 20 SB is that far fetched. He's halfway there 74 games into the year.
  8. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    It's not so much suggesting we re-sign him, it's more like...what line would he have to put up, and what terms would you offer him, for a '19 reunion to happen? If he lands at .250, 30+ doubles, 20 HR, and 20'd be hard for me not to offer him another 1/$15m type-deal...and I've been the guy pitching Fletcher as a '19 starting 2B since last year.
  9. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    I think Cowart is just about history, to be honest. I listed him more in the event some catastrophe (injuries, Fletcher traded, Angels 25 GB, etc.) leads to him being the last-man standing come mid-August. As for Ward and'll be interesting. As I mentioned in the '2019 Prospect Problem' thread, because of the number of prospects we have top-to-bottom in the org and ready for MLB playing time soon, we're about to be in a position where Eppler will either have to deviate from his MO the last three years, or continue on a path that will start to irk some and lead to questions on what his future and the future of the Angels really is. He's got three paths: 1) Use the deep farm and redundant prospects to trade for 'win-now' impact players Some precedent in Simmons and Upton (who was almost more of a FA acquisition) trades, but mostly, he's refused to trade anyone of any significance, no matter how pressing the MLB need was. 2) Play and rely on prospects at the MLB level Again, something we haven't seen Eppler do. We haven't had anyone really to play, but that hasn't stopped him from bringing in Maldonado, Rivera, or Graterol over Bandy or Perez, or Nick Franklin or Danny Espinosa over Cowart, or Valbuena over Cron, or Chris Young over Hermosillo. 3) Continue the trend, and fill '19 holes with stopgap vets This has been the plan up until now and it hasn't really worked well enough for us to get excited if it's the plan again - but going into next year, it's hard to argue this is the best (or most logical) course any more. Fletcher, Hermosillo, Fernandez, Ward, Thaiss, Suarez, and possibly Canning with Adell, Marsh, and Rengifo looming, will be ready for MLB play. It'll be interesting to see which route he goes during this deadline and offseason. He'll either go a route new to us as a fanbase, or stick to the same routine which will probably start causing some of pushback from some of the diehards, especially those who are ready for a change from the Sosh era. This is a good problem to have. I hope we see a deviation, and we see the team go into '19 with some of our prospects getting a shot at the onset, or we see him pull another major trade or two for long-term impact players.
  10. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    Moustakas in April: .302/.336/.578/.914 Moustakas, since May/June: .236/.309/.412/.721 He's cooling down, and certainly hitting better than Cozart, but I'm not sure I'd spend much in a trade for him at this point, especially being as far back as we are. He'd help, but I think I'd rather hold onto prospects, give that playing time to guys like JMF, Fletcher, even Cowart and Marte, possibly Ward and Thaiss, and use that to assess if we make an offer to him in the winter. I don't see a clear (affordable) way to improving the offense at this time, short of getting some of our AAA depth more ABs instead of Valbuena, Calhoun, Young, Cozart, etc. and think our pitching staff is more of a place to use trade currency - it feels like it's on thin ice.
  11. totdprods

    Valbuena Needs to Go

    Very small sample size for Fernandez, but... Fernandez: .276/.276/.345/.621, 73 OPS+ Valbuena: .216/.267/.335/.602, 67 OPS+ He's gonna have to start hitting and walking some if he's gonna fulfill our dreams of displacing LV.
  12. totdprods

    Ian Kinsler

    Since the first game of the Detroit series (21 games, 97 PA): .307/.371/.659/1.030 with 7 doubles, 8 home runs, 8 walks, and only 4 strikeouts. Most impressive? Only a .250 BAbip in that time, so he's actually been a little unlucky. A lot of indicators before this hot streak were hinting that he was close to breaking out, and a lot can go south still over the rest of the year, especially at his age, but at what point do you start considering if he's worth re-signing for a year this offseason? He's closing in to exceeding last year's total WAR (2.1) as well...currently at 1.4, and almost all of that has come in the last 20 games.
  13. totdprods

    Four More Moves: 2018 Midseason Edition

    And I think Urena will definitely have that same issue without having the knockout K9 needed and the amount of contact he gives up...he'll have seasons or stretches where he gets battered a bit, but he'll also have luck on his side and have seasons where he drops 15+ wins and a 3.50 or better ERA - giving folks the idea that he's turned a corner, only to have luck balance him out the next. Ultimately, I like him as Richards insurance, should we lose him to FA; he won't have the TORP stuff like Garrett, but he'll give us a steady RHP presence in the rotation. I think we'll be able to make up the TORP loss of Richards with the emergence of Heaney, Skaggs, and hopefully Ohtani - and Canning could wind up there too. So production wise, I see Urena displacing guys like Shoemaker, Nolasco, Chavez, Tropeano, Bridwell, Ramirez - for a great price, while still having enough 'stuff' to have him enjoy a peak year or two. Also, I threw other ideas out there who might be within with that package - very well might need to add/swap Brandon Marsh in for a couple, Bundy and Taillon, but worth considering, I think: Dylan Bundy (25, under control through '21): 3.81 ERA, 4.47 FIP, 108 ERA+, 1.19 WHIP in 89.2 IP, 80 H, 18 HR, 27 BB, 100 K Jakob Junis (25, under control through '23): 4.43 ERA, 4.96 FIP, 94 ERA+, 1.23 WHIP in 91.1 IP, 88 H, 19 HR, 24 BB, 83 K Zack Wheeler (28, under control through '19): 4.82 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 78 ERA+, 1.39 WHIP in 74.2 IP, 76 H, 8 HR, 28 BB, 72 K Aaron Sanchez (25, under control through '20): 4.35 ERA, 4.64 FIP, 97 ERA+, 1.49 WHIP in 78.2 IP, 73 H, 8 HR, 44 BB, 66 K Jameson Taillon (26, under control through '22): 4.03 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 99 ERA+, 1.22 WHIP in 82.2 IP, 79 H, 10 HR, 22 BB, 78 K
  14. Jordon Adell, last 12 games: .471/.500/.863/1.363 (24 for 51) with 5 doubles, 5 home runs, 11 RBI, 4 for 4 in SB attempts. Jeepers.
  15. Nonie Williams already has 3 errors in 5 games as an outfielder. Hitting .105 too. Not a very encouraging start. Francisco del Valle is another to watch in Orem. He caught my eye back when he was drafted, but hasn't done much since. Missed some time with injury, but is off to a nice start. Swanda, Yan, Molina, Rivera, and Duensing have the makings of a really fun rotation to watch develop, but Duensing is starting to tread water.