• Content count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won


totdprods last won the day on January 18

totdprods had the most liked content!

Community Reputation

3,779 Excellent

1 Follower

About totdprods

  • Rank
    Advanced Member
  • Birthday 07/10/1986

Contact Methods

  • Website URL

Profile Information

  • Gender
  • Location:
    Austin, TX
  • Interests
    Angels baseball, live music, cooking, craft beer, traveling, photography, Star Wars, Lord of the Rings, design

Recent Profile Visitors

1,789 profile views
  1. Yankees put outfielder Jake Cave put on waivers

    Cave would have been nice but I'm liking what Blash and Liriano have been doing, and they'd be about the same place on the depth chart as Cave.
  2. Blowtani

    @Warfarin, I could see him getting AAA time if he's struggling after a couple months, but I don't think uprooting him further by hucking another level of pressure onto him by a last minute change of plans and a detour to SLC is going to help him either. Not at the onset of the year. The talent is there, the expectations he's placed upon himself are there, and he's ready to *try* to compete against MLB players. He's dominated AAA-equivalent talent at a brilliantly young age. It's best for him and the Angels to give him some patience and give him a shot. If he was a traditional MILB prospect it would be time for him to get his first taste of the bigs anyway. He/we didn't go through all these hoops and sacrifices for him to be standing on a mound in Utah in April with a 27 ERA wondering what the hell happened. I could see that being as damaging and unnerving for him as taking lumps in the bigs would be.
  3. Blowtani

    Jesus, guys. Chill out haha. One of the most exciting things about Ohtani is we're getting an unfinished product. There's a plus and a minus to that. When guys like Nomo, Matsuzaka, Darvish, Matsui, Ichiro came over...they were pretty much already developed. They were able to step in and produce like above-average MLBers, a couple of them stars,, but they were at their ceiling, and in many cases, only really had a good couple of years before they topped out. The results were mixed. We're getting what essentially amounts to a top prospect. We're not realistically going to get Darvish/TORP production in Year One, nor George Springer-projection at the plate. George Springer was in AAA at age 23, Darvish was two years away from his first MLB pitch. The bright side is we're also likelier to get a player who is better in the long-run for it, as he'll get to develop against better talent and MLB pitching. It was easy to get excited about what he could be in the context of our offseason, but we are realistically more like an 82-90 win team, and not the 90-95+ win team we hoped with an elite Darvish hitting and pitching - but we could be in a year or two. Enjoy the ride - what he's doing is unprecedented. Don't send him to SLC - he has nothing to prove there. He's been dominating equivalent talent for years. Get him a full season in the bigs and let him acclimate, let him learn, let him continue to try something that no one has done in 100 years. It won't be easy, and he's more than likely going to have an up and down year, but it will be special in the long run.
  4. The last roster spot

    Not if he's already in the lineup. I do agree that over the course of the full year, Cowart is the most-used utility guy.
  5. The last roster spot

    For those reasons, I'm expecting Marte. Rather than risk losing him for nothing, they'll let him start the year on the bench to fill that need you mentioned. Once he either falters or we wind up being an actual back-up 2B, he'll get DFAed at that point. He'll either get claimed or reject the outright and elect free agency, and then Carter becomes our minor-league RH power bat in Marte's stead and comes up when that is needed again.
  6. The last roster spot

    @Scotty@AW it was mentioned the other day that Cozart has started taking some grounders at 2B (or was going to soon) and would still be a likely 2B back-up. It was in a Guardado or a Fletcher tweet/article. I'm guessing they didn't want to put two new positions on his plate at the start of spring, and are banking on Kinsler really not needing much time off the first few weeks anyway, at which point they could even juggle a pitcher to AAA for a quick Cowart call-up.
  7. I'm still going with a hunch they flip him to Minnesota to retain Bard's rights. Your best outcome for trading an out-of-options player is flipping him for another player in the same boat - problem is, we only really have two needs on the 25-man; UT IF and last reliever. We have plenty of intriguing non-roster invites (Krol, Lamb, Walsh, Fernandez, Carter) and our own out-of-option players (Noe, JC, Marte) that can fill those needs as good as anyone we'd trade be trading Perez for. I like what Bard has done, but it's hard justifying him a spot over Noe Ramirez at this point, despite his Rule V status. Minnesota's back-up catcher has an option remaining, so Perez would help their depth there. It feels like a good swap.
  8. The last roster spot

    Marte, Carter, or Walsh, in that order. I don't see any reason why Cowart should make the Opening Day roster - he doesn't bring anything to the team that is needed. Marte and Carter both do, a right-handed power bat to PH for or platoon with Valbuena and Ohtani as needed. Walsh is basically bizarro-Cowart, in that he hits better (and is a switch-hitter) and can play more positions - but glove is much worse.
  9. Pick 6

    1. Shoemaker (and I meant to say that before his solid outing today, but sxsw set-up had me preoccupied) will put up one of his even-year stretches of 20 GS/ 130 innings with an ERA around 2.80-3. He may suck for the other 5-7 starts. 2. Heaney will have an ERA around 3.50 and make it through the year. 3. Valbuena...and Marte, who turn into a surprisingly great corner infield platoon. Below... 4. Richards misses some time and doesn't pitch to the ace-like expectations we set. Still lands around production on par with a #2-3, but the missed starts dampen that further. 5. Blake Parker becomes a serious item of concern midseason and winds up being much less dependable than we hoped, possibly even on the chopping block. 6. Offensively, Zack Cozart slumps all the way back to a league average ~.700 OPS guy. His glove makes him plenty useful still, but we wind up second-guessing the deal, especially with guys like Fletcher, Marte, and Walsh all hitting well.
  10. Is Kinsler changing our minds?

    He's definitely making it easy to like him now that he's on our side, but it's still spring. David Fletcher has looked really good too and he'll cost $13m less as next year's starting 2B. Different players but a dramatic cost difference too. Jose Fernandez could fill the Valbuena role next year too and play some 2B as well.
  11. The Official 2017-2018 Hot Stove Thread

    They certainly have the money for it, but the more they spend now, the less likely they're in play for Mike....
  12. My take on some of the ST battles... UT IF Battle Kaleb Cowart: 6-24, zero XBH, RBI, BB, 7 K, SB, 2 CS - .250/.280/.250/.530 - first 4 games at 3B, last 6 at 2B Jefry Marte: 8-13, 3 doubles, 3 RBI, 2 BB, K, SB - .615/.647/.846/1.493 - 3 games at 1B, 3 games at 3B Colin Walsh: 8-24, 3 HR, 9 RBI, 2 BB, 4 K - .333/.407/.708/1.116 - 4 games at 2B, 1 game at 3B, 9 games at SS David Fletcher: 11-29, 2 doubles, 7 runs, 3 BB, 3 K, 2 SB - .379/.455/.448/.903 - 5 games at 2B, 8 games at SS Jose Miguel Fernandez: 7-21, 4 doubles, 3 RBI, 3 BB, 1 K - .333/.400/.524/.924 - 3 games at 2B, 9 games at 3B - 7 hits last 11 ABs Chris Carter: 6-23, 2 doubles, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 4 BB, 5 K - .261/.357/.609/.966 - he has almost halved his K% compared to past ST lines Nolan Fontana: 1-8, 2B, BB, 3 K - .125/.222/.250/.472 - 1 game at 2B, 3 games at SS I still think Marte makes the most sense with the club's needs, but the injury has stalled him. Cowart hasn't done much to give reason for Angels to give him the UT IF role. Walsh is really making a push, and the fact that he's seen so much time at SS is worth noting - not that the club really needs a SS back-up on the MLB team, but given that Cowart has yet to play a game there shows how the Angels view his versatility compared to Colin's. Aside from defense, he's doing everything Kaleb's doing, and better. Fernandez' plate discipline and opposite-field approach are boding well, and Carter's efforts to grow as a hitter are interesting. Fontana looks like he's definitely out of the picture - and in fact, Walsh's reps at SS could indicate he may take over as the SLC SS, costing Fontana his spot on the 40-man. Fletcher has performed too good for the UT IF role - he deserves everyday playing time in SLC to prep for a starting role in '19 or everyday replacement if someone gets hurt in '18. As it stands right now, I'd still give the last bench spot to Marte to open the year, but I'd DFA Fontana and add Walsh to the 40-man. When/if Marte falters and gets DFAed, I'd look at adding Fernandez at that point. 4th OF Battle Chris Young: Still the likely Opening Day 4th OF, despite being out injured. Eric Young, Jr: 8-28, 3 R, 3 2B, 3B, RBI, 3 BB, 8 K, 2 SB, CS - .286/.355/.464/.819 - mostly playing CF, also RF, LF Jabari Blash: 2-15, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 2 BB, 5 K, CS - .133/.235/.533/.769 - playing RF and LF (worth noting, SEA had him play 1B in ST for 3 games back in '15) Rymer Liriano: 7-27, 4 R, 2 2B, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 7 K, SB, CS - .259/.355/.333/.688 - playing RF and LF - made a great catch in his 1 game in CF Michael Hermosillo: 3-25, 4 R, 2 2B, RBI, 2 BB, 4 K, 3 SB - .120/.241/.200/.441 - playing RF (7), CF (4), and LF (2) - with 2 errors Jahmai Jones: 2-17, 2 R, 3B, RBI, 0 BB, 2 K, SB, CS - .118/.118/.235/.353 - playing CF (10) and LF (7) C. Young is still the obvious frontrunner, but if he doesn't get enough ST ABs, I could see the team starting the year with EYJR as the 4th OF, and then a likely being victim of a 40-man cut/DFA once Chris Young returns, giving Eric a shot at catching on with another team. The Angels can afford that loss given the interesting spring play of Liriano, who despite a mediocre line has put together several good ABs and defensive plays, and Blash, especially if he winds up getting some reps at 1B during the year at SLC. Hermosillo, already a longshot, looked like he was trying to do a little too much, and Jones, who was never a realistic option, have both been cut from the MLB camp. Jones never really looked overmatched despite the poor slash. 13th Pitcher - (6th SP/LRP) JC Ramirez: 9.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 HR, 0 BB, 11 K - three games, all starts - includes 3/11 Parker Bridwell: 9 IP, 14 H, 9 ER, 2 HR, 3 BB, 8 K - four games, one start Nick Tropeano: 3.1 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, HR, 0 BB, 2 K - two games, one start John Lamb: 6 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K - three games, all in 2 IP "relief" appearances Troy Scribner: 1.1 IP, H, 2 BB, K - one game in relief Jaime Barria: 5.2 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 HR, BB, 6 K - 3 games, all in "relief" Pretty hard to argue against Ramirez here. Bridwell's K9 has gone up as many claimed he needed, but could also mean he's leaving it over the plate too much, as he's given up a ton of hits. I'm a believer, but I'd start him in AAA and round out the MLB staff with optionless guys to maintain depth for now. Lamb is making a case as a left-handed version of Yusmeiro Petit multi-inning relief, and Scribner continues to remain a forgotten man, having already been cut from MLB camp after only one game. Barria too has already been eliminated, but looked strong. 13th Pitcher - additional reliever Jose Alvarez: 4 IP, H, 0 R, BB, 5 K - 4 games; without options, he is solidifying his spot in the pen. Keynan Middleton: 4 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, BB, K - 4 games; with options, his spot in the pen is starting to open up for grabs Blake Wood: 4.2 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, HR, 4 BB, 5 K - 5 games; his contract gives him an advantage, but he may be considered the pen 'mop-up' guy and nothing more. Noe Ramirez: 6.1 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 7 K - 6 games; out of options, he's probably pitching himself into a legit shot at Middleton or Wood's spot Luke Bard: 6 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, HR, 2 BB, 5 K - 6 games; Rule V, he had one disastrous game but otherwise solid. Last appearance was 2 IP, maybe testin as a Petit replacement? Felix Pena: 6 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 10 K - 6 games; has options, but making a case, of his 56 pitches, 44 have been strikes. Eduardo Paredes: 4 IP, 10 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 2 K- 5 games; has options, already cut from MLB camp and will be in SLC Jake Jewell: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 8 R, 5 ER, 5 BB, 6 K - 6 games; very mixed spring, was dominant or hittable/wild, already cut from MLB camp and off to Mobile Jesus Castillo: 3 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K - 3 games; decent spring. Showed ability to strike guys out and maintain control, but hittable. Cut from MLB camp and will be in minors. Osmer Morales: 5.1 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 2 K - 3 games, the concerns were valid, prone to giving up too many hits and not much of an out-pitch. Dayan Diaz: Never made it out of Colombia due to visa issues, and already cut from MLB camp. As Wood and Middleton struggle, the odds of the Ramirezes, Bard, and Pena breaking camp with the team only increase. Worth noting... Carlos Perez: 5-20, 3 doubles, 2 RBI, 0 BB, 3 K - .250/.250/.400/.650 - out of options, he's likely end of spring trade bait. Maybe to MIN for Luke Bard's rights? Luis Valbuena: he's now topped his '17 ST appearances (only 25 ABs) when he slashed .200/.310/.320/.630. This spring? .276/.290/.552/.842 in 29 ABs. Glimmer of hope... Zack Cozart: 2013-2016: his spring OPS averaged .640, in 2017 it exploded to 1.034, and this spring? Back to .572. Sample size is v small tho. Garrett Richards: Now through 9 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, HR, 2 BB, and 12 K. Please stay healthy. Tyler Skaggs: Has now thrown more innings this spring (8) than either spring in '15 (5) or '16 (6.2). That's something right? Andrew Heaney: Now through 8.1 IP, he's allowed 5 H, 1 ER, 0 HR, 1 BB, and 12 K. Matt Shoemaker: In 8.1 IP, 15 H, 10 ER, 5 HR, 2 BB, 6 K. Bright side? He's never really good in ST, almost always giving up more H than IP. Cam Bedrosian: 3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K Ian Kinsler: Five walks to 1 strikeout, 5 runs, 2 doubles, a SB. He's scoring runs, stealing bases, walking, and doing what he do. That's good. He was terrible last spring (.590 OPS) My best guess at Opening Day 25 as of now.. Line-up (9): Kinsler 2B, Trout CF, Upton LF, Pujols DH, Calhoun RF, Cozart 3B, Simmons SS, Valbuena 1B, Maldonado C Bench (3): Rivera C, Marte 1B/3B, Young (either) OF (Marte on a short leash) Rotation (6): Richards, Skaggs, Shoemaker, Heaney, Ohtani, JC Ramirez (doubling as a long-reliever) Bullpen (7): Parker, Bedrosian, Johnson, Alvarez, Noe Ramirez, Bard, Wood (with Pena or Lamb right on the cusp of edging Wood or Bard out)
  13. Come on down Moustakas!

    To be fair, I think I recall KC never showed any interest in offering any sort of contract until just now. So, he may have been fine with returning and felt that way, but KC didn't - at least after the QO offer.
  14. The Official 2017-2018 Hot Stove Thread good as Cozart was last year, his 3-yr slash before that was .240/.291/.376/.667 with an OPS+ of 81. Johnny Giavotella hit better than that. And Cozart will be 32 next year. I'm a believer that Cozart really did figure something out and may be in the same stratosphere as a Justin Turner/Daniel Murphy for the next couple of years. Moose will only be 29 and his 3-yr slash prior to his 'breakout' year last year (his '15 was better) was .250/.312/.428/.740 with a 100 OPS+. His BB% dropped to 5.7% last year, but it had been steadily increasing (6.2 to 7 to 7 to 8 in the 4 years before) before that and both Cozart and Moose have matching career .305 OBPs. Really either of them could go either way - Cozart's skillset appears to be more sustainable, but Moose does have age and a slightly better track record going for him. I think Cozart probably lands around a 120 OPS+ the next couple of years steadily...Moose may fluctuate between a 100 OPS+ here, a 130 OPS+ there, but land a little below Zach, averaging around 110 OPS+ during that same span. With Zach being more versatile and less volatile, I think he's the better deal.