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gotbeer

The Official 2018-2019 Anaheim Ducks Thread

1,014 posts in this topic

2 hours ago, deepdrive said:

???  I read that the St Louis pick was ours unless it's a top 10 pick.

Top 20 pick is what I have heard.  The top 10 is between St Louis and Buffalo.  If the pick becomes top 10, then Buffalo gets 2020 1st round pick.  

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The best the late first pick can get is #20 pick if that picks spot finishes exactly at #20, thats a decent late 1st when considering that will be higher than any of the 1sts moved at the deadline.

However SJ pick could fall to #23 since Erik Karlsson appears to be shutdown right now & if they exit the playoffs within 2 rounds it should stay where it is.

Still nice insurance on the SJ pick if STL can finish at #20 to #23 as i think its most likely the SJ pick will be #25 to 27.

So the only games the Ducks should win is vs SJ & lose the rest of their games. Losing to STL was huge in both boosting the Ducks chances at moving back into #4 pick pre-lottery & helping STL get back towards #20, their now at #19 & another few wins they will be back at #20

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Tankathon.com has a lottery simulator.  I've tried it maybe 30 times, and I'd say 80% of the time, we drop in orders.  Only once did I get first pick.  And I think 2 times got second pick.  I've seen Florida jump like 1 million spots followed by Columbus getting the #1 pick more often than I saw the Ducks get the #1 pick.

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On 3/7/2019 at 12:04 PM, gotbeer said:

Tankathon.com has a lottery simulator.  I've tried it maybe 30 times, and I'd say 80% of the time, we drop in orders.  Only once did I get first pick.  And I think 2 times got second pick.  I've seen Florida jump like 1 million spots followed by Columbus getting the #1 pick more often than I saw the Ducks get the #1 pick.

I just ran it once, and predicted the Ducks getting first overall, and 20th overall (from STL).

Basically the absolute best case scenario.

So it's a lock! Plan the parade.

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Well, I guess the Ducks said F U to the Canadians too.  Hope this shattered them enough to knock them out of a playoff spot.  They should have traded with us.

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As a Ducks fan, this is just so depressing to watch.

Like I've said, if we finish with a 10+ draft pick, they should fire Murray. This is not Lala land. You have to take the draft pick you deserve. When's the last time the Ducks got a top 5 pick. Get your f'ing pick Murray.

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3 hours ago, deepdrive said:

As a Ducks fan, this is just so depressing to watch.

Like I've said, if we finish with a 10+ draft pick, they should fire Murray. This is not Lala land. You have to take the draft pick you deserve. When's the last time the Ducks got a top 5 pick. Get your f'ing pick Murray.

Right now, we are at #5.  New Jersey is 4 points worse than us.  But there is a logjam 1 and 2 points behind us.  We could in a snap go from 5 to 9.  Colorado is still 5 points out of us.  

The good news is, we've played 73 games.  New Jersey is at 72 games.  And those trailing us are at 71 and 70 games.  

9 games left.  2 against the kings.  Florida needs the win badly.  Winnipeg, Calgary x2, San Jose should roll us.  Vancouver and Edmonton should be rest days for our guys.  

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